Flyers-Maple Leafs odds: Toronto heavily favored at home over Philadelphia

The Toronto Maple Leafs (9-5-3) host the Philadelphia Flyers (8-5-2) at Scotiabank Arena Saturday at 7:00 p.m. ET. We analyze the Maple Leafs-Flyers odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips around this matchup.

Flyers-Maple Leafs: Projected starting goalies

Carter Hart vs. Frederik Andersen

Hart has managed a 5-3-0 record with a 2.82 goals-against average with an .889 save percentage and one shutout this season. That might not be the most impressive record, but he has won each of his past three, allowing a total of six goals on 88 shots.

Andersen has posted an impressive 9-2-2 mark with a 2.69 GAA and .914 save percentage, and he is 7-0-2 across the past nine starts, last losing in regulation on Oct. 10 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. In his most recent showing against the Flyers on Nov. 2, he allowed three goals on 40 shots in a shootout victory.


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Flyers-Maple Leafs: Odds, picks and betting tips

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Saturday at 9:55 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Flyers 3

Moneyline (ML)

The MAPLE LEAFS (-167) are moderate chalk against the visiting Flyers (+140). Consider Toronto, even at this price, as the home team has hit in five of the past six meetings.

Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The MAPLE LEAFS (-1.5, +155) are worth a small-unit bet at this price, although I expect it should be a tight affair, and could be decided in overtime or a shootout.

Hart has been sharp, but he is due for a stinker, and Toronto is a tough place to play. The Flyers (+1.5, -189) are just too expensive if you’re looking for a little insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 6.5 (+105) has hit in five of the past seven outings for the Flyers, and they have scored three or more goals in four in a row, and eight of the past nine outings. That includes their first meeting with the Leafs on Nov. 2, and ‘over’ result.

For the Leafs, the over is 8-5 in their past 13. There isn’t much of a lean either way, as the over is 6-5 in Toronto’s 11 games at Scotiabank Arena this season, including a pair of under results in the past two. That’s a good reason why the ‘over’ ticket fetches plus money.

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